Nyob rau xyoo tas los no, cov khoom PE tau txuas ntxiv mus rau pem hauv ntej ntawm txoj kev nthuav dav ceev. Txawm hais tias PE xa khoom tseem suav rau qee qhov feem pua, nrog rau kev nce qib ntawm lub peev xwm tsim khoom hauv tsev, qhov chaw nyob hauv zos ntawm PE tau qhia txog kev nce ntxiv txhua xyoo. Raws li Jinlianchuang cov ntaub ntawv, txij li xyoo 2023, lub peev xwm tsim khoom PE hauv tsev tau txog 30.91 lab tons, nrog rau qhov ntim tsim khoom ntawm kwv yees li 27.3 lab tons; Nws xav tias yuav tseem muaj 3.45 lab tons ntawm lub peev xwm tsim khoom muab tso rau hauv kev ua haujlwm hauv xyoo 2024, feem ntau yog nyob rau hauv ib nrab xyoo tom ntej. Nws xav tias lub peev xwm tsim khoom PE yuav yog 34.36 lab tons thiab cov zis yuav yog kwv yees li 29 lab tons hauv xyoo 2024.
Txij xyoo 2013 txog 2024, cov tuam txhab tsim khoom polyethylene feem ntau muab faib ua peb theem. Ntawm lawv, txij xyoo 2013 txog 2019, nws yog theem kev nqis peev ntawm cov thee mus rau olefin cov tuam txhab, nrog rau qhov nruab nrab txhua xyoo ntawm kev tsim khoom nce ntxiv txog li 950000 tons / xyoo; Lub sijhawm txij xyoo 2020 txog 2023 yog theem tsim khoom hauv nruab nrab ntawm kev lag luam loj thiab kev lag luam tshuaj lom neeg, thaum lub sijhawm ntawd qhov nruab nrab txhua xyoo ntawm kev tsim khoom hauv Suav teb tau nce ntxiv ntau heev, ncav cuag 2.68 lab tons ib xyoos; Nws xav tias yuav muaj 3.45 lab tons ntawm lub peev xwm tsim khoom tseem yuav muab tso rau hauv kev ua haujlwm hauv xyoo 2024, nrog rau kev loj hlob ntawm 11.16% piv rau xyoo 2023.
Kev xa khoom PE tau pom tias muaj kev txo qis txhua xyoo. Txij li xyoo 2020, nrog rau kev nthuav dav ntawm kev ua kom huv loj, kev thauj mus los thoob ntiaj teb tau nruj vim muaj kev noj qab haus huv thoob ntiaj teb, thiab tus nqi thauj khoom hauv dej hiav txwv tau nce ntxiv ntau heev. Nyob rau hauv kev cuam tshuam ntawm cov tsav tsheb nqi, qhov ntim xa khoom ntawm polyethylene hauv tsev tau txo qis ntau txij li xyoo 2021. Txij li xyoo 2022 txog 2023, Tuam Tshoj lub peev xwm tsim khoom txuas ntxiv nthuav dav, thiab lub qhov rais arbitrage ntawm kev lag luam hauv tsev thiab txawv teb chaws tseem nyuaj rau qhib. Qhov ntim xa khoom PE thoob ntiaj teb tau txo qis piv rau xyoo 2021, thiab nws xav tias qhov ntim xa khoom PE hauv tsev yuav yog 12.09 lab tons hauv xyoo 2024. Raws li tus nqi thiab cov qauv ntws thoob ntiaj teb-kev thov, yav tom ntej lossis qhov ntim xa khoom PE hauv tsev yuav txuas ntxiv txo qis.
Hais txog kev xa khoom tawm, vim muaj kev tsim khoom ntau ntawm cov chaw ua kom huv si thiab cov chaw tsim roj hydrocarbon hauv xyoo tas los no, lub peev xwm tsim khoom thiab cov zis tau nce sai. Cov chaw tshiab muaj ntau lub sijhawm tsim khoom, thiab kev muag khoom tau nce ntxiv tom qab cov chaw tau muab tso rau hauv kev ua haujlwm. Kev sib tw ntawm cov nqi qis hauv tsev tau ua rau muaj kev puas tsuaj rau cov txiaj ntsig hauv qab kev sib tw nqi qis, thiab qhov sib txawv ntawm tus nqi rov qab mus sij hawm ntev ntawm kev lag luam sab hauv thiab sab nraud tau ua rau nws nyuaj rau cov neeg siv khoom xaus kom zom cov khoom siv nce ntxiv hauv lub sijhawm luv luv. Tom qab xyoo 2020, qhov ntim xa khoom ntawm PE mus rau Tuam Tshoj tau qhia txog kev nce ntxiv txhua xyoo.
Nrog rau kev nce siab ntawm kev sib tw hauv tsev txhua xyoo, qhov sib txawv ntawm kev nrhiav kev xa tawm rau polyethylene tsis tuaj yeem hloov pauv. Hais txog kev xa khoom tuaj, Middle East, Tebchaws Meskas thiab lwm qhov chaw tseem muaj ntau cov peev txheej pheej yig, thiab txuas ntxiv suav tias Tuam Tshoj yog lub hom phiaj xa khoom loj tshaj plaws. Nrog rau kev nce ntxiv ntawm lub peev xwm tsim khoom hauv tsev, kev vam khom sab nraud ntawm polyethylene yuav txo qis mus rau 34% hauv xyoo 2023. Txawm li cas los xij, kwv yees li 60% ntawm cov khoom lag luam PE siab tseem vam khom kev xa khoom tuaj. Txawm hais tias tseem muaj kev cia siab tias yuav txo qis kev vam khom sab nraud nrog kev nqis peev ntawm lub peev xwm tsim khoom hauv tsev, qhov sib txawv ntawm kev thov rau cov khoom lag luam siab tsis tuaj yeem ua tiav hauv lub sijhawm luv luv.
Hais txog kev xa khoom tawm, nrog rau kev sib tw hauv tsev maj mam zuj zus thiab kev hloov pauv ntawm qee lub lag luam tsim khoom hauv tsev qis mus rau Sab Qab Teb Asia, kev thov tawm mus sab nraud kuj tau dhau los ua kev tshawb nrhiav kev muag khoom rau cov tuam txhab tsim khoom thiab qee tus tub luam hauv xyoo tas los no. Yav tom ntej, nws tseem yuav ua rau muaj kev taw qhia xa khoom tawm, nce kev xa khoom mus rau Sab Qab Teb Asia, Africa, thiab South America. Ntawm sab hauv av, kev siv txuas ntxiv ntawm Belt and Road thiab kev qhib cov chaw nres nkoj lag luam Sino Lavxias tau tsim kom muaj peev xwm nce kev thov polyethylene hauv Northwest Central Asia thiab Northeast Russian Far East cheeb tsam.
Lub sijhawm tshaj tawm: Tsib Hlis-06-2024